|Event:|| TC Tropical Cyclone|
|Country:|| PHL Philippines|
|Location:|| Northern provinces including Apayao, Batanes, Ilocos Norte|
, Cagayan, Babuyan Islands
|Date (YMD):|| 2018-9-12|
|Magnitude:|| Category 5 Cyclone (Super Typhoon)|
|Information Source:||IFRC/Philippine Red Cross|
|Comments:|| Typhoon Mangkhut is currently around 1,200km east of southern Luzon (13.8 N 136.3 E), moving west at 20kph, and with maximum sustained winds of 250kph near the centre and gustiness of up to 310kph. It has been classified as a Category 5 cyclone (Super typhoon). The typhoon is expected to maintain its strength before landfall.
According to forecasts, the typhoon will make landfall over Santa Ana municipality in Cagayan province between the evening of 14 September and early morning of 15 September, with Category 4 winds, before making a second landfall over the Babuyan Islands, around 25km north of Luzon landmass. The typhoon will move across the Babuyan channel, on the northern coast of Luzon, sustaining its Category 4 winds for 24 hours. Mangkhut exits PAR by 08H00, 16 September 2018.
Although the eye of the storm is not likely to traverse through Luzon landmass, the strength and the size of the typhoon (700-900km wide) is expected to cause substantial damage in communities in the provinces of Apayao, Batanes, Ilocos Norte and Cagayan, and in the Babuyan Group of Islands. Around 2 million people (almost 450,000 households) live in these areas. Storm surges of 6 to 7 metres are also expected along the northern coast and across the islands, with the typhoon expected to make landfall on a high tide (more than 1 metre). Other provinces such as Isabela, Kalinga, Abra, Mountain Province and Ilocos Sur are also expected to sustain direct wind damage from the typhoon. Heavy torrential rain is also expected over these areas, which may also trigger landslides in mountain communities and flash floods particularly near rivers and major tributaries.