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Event: DR Drought
Number: 2023-000154
Country: IDN Indonesia
Location:
Date (YMD): 2023-8-24
Time:
Duration:
Magnitude:
Information Source:Indonesian RC (PMI), Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG)
Comments: According to BMKG, climate phenomena recorded in Pacific Ocean waters in May and June of 2023 could lead to El Niño in June, which could cause the region to feel warmer. Anomalies in Pacific Ocean temperatures have been growing, with the index reaching 0.8, concerningly close to the threshold of 1, at which point the El Niño status goes from “Weak” to “Moderate”. Currently, Trends show a consistent increase and there is an 80% chance that the El Niño status will escalate. Moreover, BMKG forecasts indicate a high probability that several Indonesian provinces will see rainfall intensity of around 0-20mm below normal during August and September 2023. BMKG has circulated an early warning of potential drought causing water scarcity, particularly in Java and Bali, and the southern part of Sumatra.
Aproximate Location::
 
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